8 14 day outlook

Forecast probabilities are 8 14 day outlook by member counting in the ensemble in each category. Forecasts are not calibrated but are unbiased and they are produced twice a day 00 and 12 UTC for day 8 to At the bottom of the table, and for each domain, links are available for the temperature climatology charts for the above and below normal categories. The temperature climatology charts indicate threshold temperature values for the above and below normal categories.

Federal government websites often end in. The site is secure. Using the climatology period —, the 6—10 day and 8—14 day outlooks depict whether the probability percent chance of above-normal, below-normal, or near-normal conditions during the noted time frame. The monthly and seasonal outlooks depict the probability percent chance of above-or below-normal conditions. The colored shading on the map indicates the degree of confidence the forecaster has in the category indicated. The darker the shading, the greater is the level of confidence. For temperature outlooks, blue hues indicate "below-normal" and orange-red hues indicate "above normal.

8 14 day outlook

These include day outlooks, monthly outlooks, and seasonal outlooks. Unlike regular "zone forecasts" issued by a local National Weather Service office, the climatological outlooks provide probability forecasts for both temperature and precipitation, divided into tercile groups: below normal, near normal, and above normal. For information about how to read the latest 8 to 14 day outlooks, for example, click here. Latest Day Precipitation Outlook. Latest Day Temperature Outlook. Latest 1-Month Precipitation Outlook. Latest 1-Month Temperature Outlook. Latest 3-Month Precipitation Outlook. Latest 3-Month Temperature Outlook. Please Contact Us. Please try another search. Multiple locations were found. Please select one of the following:. Location Help.

Water Supply Periods of drought can lead to inadequate water supplythreatening the health, safety, and welfare of communities. Please try another search.

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There are two areas of positive hPa height anomalies, one centered east of the Canadian Maritimes spreading into the northeastern contiguous U. Meanwhile, east of the Mississippi River a cooling trend is being established in the Southeast with near-normal conditions being favored for parts of the Tennessee River Valley and Southern Appalachians relative to the above-normal temperatures forecast yesterday for these areas. Above-normal temperatures are still favored for the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic closer to the hPa height anomaly center. There is lower confidence in the above-normal as the mid-level trough shifts eastward during the period and the raw dynamical tools are cooler relative to the reforecast and short term bias-corrected tools. In Alaska, with positive hPa height anomalies forecast during the period, above-normal temperatures are strongly favored across most of the mainland, while in parts of Southeast Alaska, above-normal temperatures are slightly favored. For Hawaii, near to slightly above-normal temperatures are favored for the state. Above-normal precipitation is favored across most of the country during the day period. In the southwestern CONUS, a deep trough will be moving through the region early in the period bringing a period of unsettled weather to the area. Additionally, the precipitation climatology for this region for late March is relatively low, increasing chances for any precipitation to exceed normal.

8 14 day outlook

Sign up for the Morning Brief email newsletter to get weekday updates from The Weather Channel and our meteorologists. Long-term warming of the planet over the past several decades is also a contributor. April to be warmer than usual for most: The month may start cooler than average, particularly over the South. But overall, April should end up warmer than usual in most of the country, except perhaps South Florida. More of the same in May: Our May outlook appears similar to April, except warmer along the northern tier from Washington state to the Northeast. Like April, it still looks warmer than usual from much of Texas to parts of the Desert Southwest.

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Lack of snowpack storage, or a shift in timing of snowmelt, can be a challenge for drought planning. Agriculture Drought can reduce the water availability and water quality necessary for productive farms, ranches, and grazing lands, resulting in significant negative direct and indirect economic impacts to the agricultural sector. Periods of drought can lead to inadequate water supply , threatening the health, safety, and welfare of communities. Climate and Past Weather. Verification indicates the skill of outlooks, which is a relative measure of how the outlooks performed. Add this page. Local Radar. Interpretation : Charts Temperature climatology charts View: Charts for each of the 3 categories. Latest 1-Month Temperature Outlook. View Outlook Maps. C lick on a product parameter to view the most current map enlarged on a new page. Flash Drought Flash drought is the rapid onset or intensification of drought. File Format. Feedback about this web site.

Potential hazards are shown for precipitation heavy rain or snow , temperature much-above or much-below normal , and soils drought , Hazards maps are accompanied by a text summary. Climate Prediction Center CPC meteorologists and oceanographers review climate and weather observations and data along with model results. They assess their meaning, significance, and current status, and likely future climate impacts.

Latest Day Precipitation Outlook. Near-Normal Odds favor near-normal precipitation during this period. Latest River Forecast Information. Looking for State or Local Maps? Climate Predication Center Home Page : View temperature, precipitation, hazards, and drought outlooks for the United States day temperature and precipitation outlooks day temperature and precipitation outlooks week temperature and precipitation outlooks 1-month temperature and precipitation outlooks 3-month temperature and precipitation outlooks GIS Data — Download the outlooks as shapefiles and raster data. There is already a shortcut with the same name in this list. Interpretation : Charts Temperature climatology charts View: Charts for each of the 3 categories. Latest 3-Month Precipitation Outlook. Add to shortcuts Organize shortcuts. This map shows the probability percent chance of above-normal, near-normal, or below-normal temperature 8 to 14 days in the future. Forecasts are not calibrated but are unbiased and they are produced twice a day 00 and 12 UTC for day 8 to File Format. For temperature outlooks, blue hues indicate "below-normal" and orange-red hues indicate "above normal. Using the climatology period —, the 6—10 day and 8—14 day outlooks depict whether the probability percent chance of above-normal, below-normal, or near-normal conditions during the noted time frame. Warmer air temperatures increase evapotranspiration—which is the combination of evaporation from the soil and bodies of water and transpiration from plants—and lower soil moisture.