Fxdaily
US equity benchmarks fxdaily to push fxdaily as most of the big tech stocks close in on bullish target prices, fxdaily. Chinese equities, however, continue to languish as Chinese authorities institute an array of measures to slow the decline. This divergence can only be helping the dollar.
March may not give us conclusive answers on US inflation, the economy or on when the Fed will cut, but it will tell us whether markets now require sharper US data declines to re-enter easing bets. The dollar may still struggle to find clear direction in March, but we expect USD bearish pressure to intensify from the second quarter. US PCE figures - released yesterday - confirmed what most had expected: inflation stayed too hot in January. However, as discussed by our US economist here , there are still hopes that the disinflationary process will resume in time for a June rate cut by the Federal Reserve. Personal income and spending figures came in strong too, but real household disposable income did not grow at all in January. We must remember how crucial this is to fuel real consumer spending now that excess savings have almost entirely run down: with the spending push likely to ease, inflation should come down more steadily.
Fxdaily
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We think the peso would not sell off too aggressively if Fxdaily did surprise and cut its
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Fxdaily
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Chris Turner. FX Strategist. The point here is that the very differing performance of these equity indices also reflects perceived growth differentials and for the dollar decline there needs to be an attractive story elsewhere in the world. For reference, four of thirty economists polled by Bloomberg are looking for a cut. Accounts Last accounts made up to 31 May But on the other hand, we believe that the market positioning is already heavily short and rates are already pricing in the vast majority of CNB rate cuts. This divergence can only be helping the dollar. Today we have policy meetings in the Czech Republic and Mexico. A deviation from expectations could trigger short-term swings in eurozone rates and the euro, but should not really have a big impact on the narrative that Christine Lagarde and the Governing Council look set to reiterate next week. The CNB will release a new forecast which we think will bring a few changes that we discuss in our preview. Cookies on Companies House services We use some essential cookies to make our services work. You can change your cookie settings at any time. Chinese equities, however, continue to languish as Chinese authorities institute an array of measures to slow the decline.
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For reference, four of thirty economists polled by Bloomberg are looking for a cut. US equity benchmarks continue to push higher as most of the big tech stocks close in on bullish target prices. Share Twitter LinkedIn E-mail. Also in the Czech Republic, the state budget for February will be released, which should show more on fiscal policy consolidation after a slightly negative number in January. As discussed in our latest Bank of Canada note , policymakers are now looking at a pretty mixed bag when it comes to data. However, we see some chance for a slight improvement. We suspect the dollar will continue to trade on the firm side heading into this ET release on Friday - but the dollar could sell off afterwards and risk assets could rally, should these revisions not upset the US disinflation story. James Knightley and Padhraic Garvey have discussed this in detail here. China's stuttering economy suggests those conditions are far from being met. The Czech National Bank will hold its first monetary policy meeting of the year today. Today we have policy meetings in the Czech Republic and Mexico. Similarly, a rate cut before June seems unlikely. FX Strategist.
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