Precipitation outlook

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Displays flood and flash flood reports as well as intense rainfall observations for user-selectable time ranges and customizable geographic regions. Includes ability to download reports and associated metadata in csv format. Reports include rain, snow, ice, and severe weather, as well as other significant information from storm spotters. Displays the climatological significance of precipitation forecast by WPC. We are actively working to resolve this problem. Interactive display of where temperatures could approach or exceed records within the contiguous U. Displays Days NDFD maximum and minimum temperatures, along with their respective departures from climatology.

Precipitation outlook

Colors show where total precipitation has an increased chance of being higher or lower than usual during the next three months. The darker the shading, the greater the chance for the indicated condition. White areas have equal chances for precipitation totals that are below, near, or above the long-term average median for the next three months. Climate scientists base future climate outlooks on current patterns in the ocean and atmosphere. They examine projections from climate and weather models and consider recent trends. They also check historical records to see how much precipitation fell when patterns were similar in the past. Water managers, farmers, and forestry officials have an intense interest in precipitation outlooks. They use them to help make decisions about water resources, irrigation, and fire-fighting resources. Flood forecasters also use these outlooks. They want to know as early as possible if an area is likely to receive more precipitation than usual. Data Snapshots are derivatives of existing data products: to meet the needs of a broad audience, we present the source data in a simplified visual style.

For information about how to read the latest 8 to 14 day outlooks, for example, click here.

These include day outlooks, monthly outlooks, and seasonal outlooks. Unlike regular "zone forecasts" issued by a local National Weather Service office, the climatological outlooks provide probability forecasts for both temperature and precipitation, divided into tercile groups: below normal, near normal, and above normal. For information about how to read the latest 8 to 14 day outlooks, for example, click here. Latest Day Precipitation Outlook. Latest Day Temperature Outlook. Latest 1-Month Precipitation Outlook.

Federal government websites often end in. The site is secure. According to forecasts from the National Weather Service's Weather Prediction Center, heavy snowfall is forecast in the Colorado Front Range area from March 14—15, while heavy precipitation with this storm system is also likely across other parts of the Four Corners states. Aside from portions of the Four Corners states, much of the West is likely to stay dry through Monday evening. Farther east, through Monday evening, half an inch or more of precipitation is forecast from central Nebraska eastward into parts of the Rust Belt. Rainfall amounts of a half inch to 2 inches, with locally higher amounts, are also forecast from central Texas eastward through southeast Oklahoma, Arkansas and southeast Missouri to most of Georgia and Tennessee and southern Kentucky. The National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center's 6—10 day forecast valid March 19—23 favors near-normal or above-normal precipitation across the contiguous U. In Hawaii, below-normal precipitation is likely on all islands except for the Big Island, where near-normal precipitation is favored. Wetter-than-normal weather is favored for central, northern, and western Alaska, while drier-than-normal weather is favored in southeast Alaska.

Precipitation outlook

Across Alaska, the current phase 6 MJO is expected to bring, in general, cooler than average temperatures during the outlook period. Based on both the accuracy of the MJO forecast and the strength of its teleconnection pattern for CONUS, the conditions described above may vary or change. As is typical in subseasonal springtime forecasting, climate drivers are often interrupted by seasonal atmospheric variability.

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Near-Normal Odds favor near-normal precipitation during this period. We value your feedback Help us improve our content Your Email Address. Analyzed at 12Z Tue Mar 12, High pressure over the southern U. The guidance does appear to be converging on a deeper more SW aligned system, creating confluent flow emerging out of the Pacific and streaming northeast, especially within the mb layer. Snow Drought Snow drought is a period of abnormally low snowpack for the time of year. Displays flood and flash flood reports as well as intense rainfall observations for user-selectable time ranges and customizable geographic regions. Solar eclipse weather forecast: AccuWeather provides 1st cloud outlook. Analyzed at 00Z Tue Mar 12, Displays forecast information and its climatological context to quickly alert a forecaster when a record or neear-record breaking event is possible. Across the eastern U. Site Section.

Displays flood and flash flood reports as well as intense rainfall observations for user-selectable time ranges and customizable geographic regions. Includes ability to download reports and associated metadata in csv format. Reports include rain, snow, ice, and severe weather, as well as other significant information from storm spotters.

Some of the enhanced rainfall could be accompanied with severe weather. Period of Record. We are actively working to resolve this problem. Follow us on Twitter. Ensemble Situational Awareness Table. Or, click "interactive" next to the product parameter to view an interactive map. Extreme Precipitation Monitor. Changes in precipitation can substantially disrupt crops and livestock, influence the frequency and intensity of severe weather events, and affect the quality and quantity of water available for municipal and industrial use. Subscription Services. Rivers and Lakes. The colored shading on the map indicates the degree of confidence the forecaster has in the category indicated. Monthly and Seasonal Outlook Archive —View past monthly and seasonal outlooks from October to the present. The darker the shading, the greater is the level of confidence. The dry environment in the Plains states will initially limit the formation of showers and some thunderstorms across the mid-Mississippi Valley into the Midwest today into early on Wednesday.

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